It is expected to become a Category 4 by Monday on the 5-step Saffir-Simpson scale for measuring hurricane intensity. Hurricane Lee has grabbed the attention of forecasters and social media this week as the rapidly intensifying storm moves west across the open waters of the Atlantic. But Dorians path in days to come is uncertain. The National Hurricane Center says Dorian is now a major hurricane posing a 'significant threat to Florida and the northwestern Bahamas.' The storm is likely to bring life-threatening storm surge. 1:39 A satellite image shows Hurricane Dorian as it moves along the so. No evacuations were ordered as of early Friday, but many are expected as the storm’s path become clearer before it makes landfall on Monday.ĭorian was a Category 2 storm early on Friday with winds of 105 mph and its 12 mph (9 kph) trajectory could slow down allowing it to crawl across the warm coastal waters, a recipe for storm fuel. Hurricane Dorian will pass over Puerto Rico today as it continues a northwest path that could bring it to Floridas east coast. In 2017, Hurricane Irma was supposed to follow a similar path but it wound up smacking Florida's Gulf coast. The entire state of Florida is under a declaration of emergency and Governor Ron DeSantis activated 2,500 National Guard troops with another 1,500 on standby. While models are generally accurate, they're not perfect. This would steer Dorian toward the Bahamas and the east coast of Florida.Ĭomputer forecast models have consistently suggested this scenario for several days.MIAMI, Aug 30 (Reuters) - Hurricane Dorian is expected to strengthen into a dangerous Category 3 storm on Friday with winds of at least 111 mph (178 km/h) as it heads towards Florida’s Atlantic coast.ĭorian is forecast to swell later into a powerful Category 4 storm with violent winds topping 130 mph (210 km/h) before it makes landfall on Labor Day. This is because high pressure, what meteorologists call the Bermuda high, is expected to strengthen between Bermuda and the southeastern U.S. A Track Toward the U.S.īy Friday or Saturday, Dorian is expected to hook left. Here are the latest euro model, NOAA charts and spaghetti models as .uk track Dorian’s path. Dorian would then move north to coastal Georgia and South Carolina, where rain, storm surge and flooding is a threat. Hurricane Dorian will pass over Puerto Rico today as it continues a northwest path that could bring it to Floridas east coast. If Dorian continues on that track, Orlando and Jacksonville may see heavy rain, gusty winds and significant flooding. The eye of Hurricane Dorian made a second landfall at 2 p.m. Most models are predicting Hurricane Dorian - Wikipedia will make a sharp turn north. Dorians winds have increased to 110 mph, according to an 11 a.m. 1, 2019, in Elbow Cay, Abacos, in the Bahamas as a Category 5 with 190 mph winds. They can be simple enough to run in a few seconds on an ordinary computer, or.
Forecast models vary tremendously in structure and complexity. The most commonly used models at NHC are summarized in the tables below.
( MORE: Latest Complete Forecast | Latest News Impacts) The category 3 hurricane could be upgraded to a category 4 storm on Friday. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) uses many models as guidance in the preparation of official track and intensity forecasts. The latest five-day forecast cone from the National Hurricane Center brings the center of Dorian into Florida by late Sunday or early Monday.īut what sounds like a straightforward forecast is much more complicated, with the potential for several different outcomes. Hurricane Dorian is a danger for the southeastern United States over the Labor Day holiday weekend, with possible outcomes ranging from two landfalls – one in Florida followed by another on the northern Gulf Coast – to scraping the southeastern Georgia coast.ĭorian is forecast to become a major hurricane ( Category 3 or stronger) by this weekend. Several of the forecast path models target Central Florida for landfall, but forecasters stress that anyone in the cone, which includes the entirety of.
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